BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Packwood Pekin

Class: 1A Class Rank: 24 Conference: 1A-6 Record: (16-11-0) Overall: (63-35-0) Overall Strength =   74.76

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/26/2011 Home    L * *  70.52  32  38   1A 18 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        -4.16     -1.84                      
 2 09/02/2011 Away    L * *  52.05   6  39   1A 14 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis            -22.64    -10.36                      
 3 09/09/2011 Home    W     102.61  54  12    A 39 ( 42- 48-  0) Wapello                27.92     14.08                      
 4 09/16/2011 Away    L      75.05  18  34   1A  4 ( 84- 23-  0) West Branch             0.37    -16.37                      
 5 09/23/2011 Home    W * *  87.12  60   6   1A 53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    12.44     41.56                      
 6 09/30/2011 Away    W * *  80.30  40   0   1A 52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal          5.61     34.39                      
 7 10/07/2011 Home    W      99.21  47   6    A 44 ( 30- 62-  0) Stanwood North Cedar   24.52     16.48                      
 8 10/14/2011 Away    L      32.93  13  52    A 25 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett             -41.76      2.76                      
 9 10/21/2011 Away    W      77.66  39  24    A 43 ( 41- 50-  0) Riverside Highland      2.98     12.02                      
10 10/26/2011 Away    L      47.35   7  47    A  6 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley         -27.34    -12.66                      
11 08/24/2012 Home    W     131.72  88   6    8 36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London             57.03     24.97                      
12 08/31/2012 Away    W * *  92.10  25  13   1A 18 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        17.41     -5.41                      
13 09/07/2012 Home    W      75.37  34  27    A 24 ( 61- 39-  0) Lynnville-Sully         0.68      6.32                      
14 09/14/2012 Away    W     109.36  61  21   1A 34 ( 52- 43-  0) Pleasantville          34.68      5.32                      
15 09/21/2012 Home    W     102.35  67   0    A 59 ( 22- 68-  0) North Mahaska          27.67     39.33                      
16 09/28/2012 Away    W      69.57  40   0    8 63 ( 27- 67-  0) English Valleys        -5.11     45.11                      
17 10/05/2012 Home    L      58.49  20  28    8 19 ( 61- 39-  0) Montezuma             -16.19      8.19                      
18 10/12/2012 Away    W      90.76  56  12    8 46 ( 40- 55-  0) Southeast Warren       16.08     27.92                      
19 10/19/2012 Away    L      56.14   0  26    8  6 ( 83- 27-  0) Brooklyn BGM          -18.54     -7.46                      
20 10/24/2012 Away    L      66.77   0  14    A 12 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                 -7.92     -6.08                      
21 08/30/2013 Away    W      95.29  55  13    8 36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London             20.61     21.39  ND                  
22 09/06/2013 Home    L * *  70.52  21  27   1A 18 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        -4.16     -1.84  ND                  
23 09/13/2013 Away    W      92.94  33  12    A 24 ( 61- 39-  0) Lynnville-Sully        18.25      2.75                      
24 09/20/2013 Home    W      91.79  49  23   1A 34 ( 52- 43-  0) Pleasantville          17.10      8.90                      
25 09/27/2013 Away    W      75.92  53  16    A 59 ( 22- 68-  0) North Mahaska           1.24     35.76                      
26 10/04/2013 Home    W      82.00  56   0    8 63 ( 27- 67-  0) English Valleys         7.32     48.68                      
27 10/11/2013 Away    W      77.06  22  15    8 19 ( 61- 39-  0) Montezuma               2.38      4.62                      
28 10/18/2013 Home    W     105.19  62   0    8 46 ( 40- 55-  0) Southeast Warren       30.51     31.49                      
29 10/25/2013 Home    L      66.57   7  19    8  6 ( 83- 27-  0) Brooklyn BGM           -8.11     -3.89                      
30 10/30/2013 Home    W     105.99  43   0    8 21 ( 63- 35-  0) Lone Tree              31.31     11.69                      
31 11/04/2013 Away    W     101.77  27   6    A 12 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                 27.08     -6.08                      
32 11/08/2013 Away    L      61.14   8  29    8  6 ( 83- 27-  0) Brooklyn BGM          -13.54     -7.46                      
33 08/29/2014 Home    W      88.47  32   0   2A 44 ( 32- 50-  0) Eddyville EBF          13.79     18.21                      
34 09/05/2014 Away    W * * 111.10  45  14   1A 18 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        36.41     -5.41                      
35 09/12/2014 Home    W      88.86  56   0   ZZ 48 ( 16- 40-  0) Danville               14.17     41.83                      
36 09/19/2014 Home    W      96.72  54   7    8 36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London             22.03     24.97                      
37 09/26/2014 Away    W * *  71.70  55  20   1A 53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    -2.99     37.99                      
38 10/03/2014 Home    W * *  84.72  48   0   1A 52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal         10.04     37.96                      
39 10/10/2014 Away    W      71.56  26  21    8 21 ( 63- 35-  0) Lone Tree              -3.12      8.12                      
40 10/17/2014 Away    W      98.92  48   2    8 38 ( 41- 50-  0) Wayland WACO           24.24     21.76                      
41 10/24/2014 Home    W      76.41  43   6    8 52 ( 29- 63-  0) Winfield-Mt Union       1.72     35.28                      
42 10/29/2014 Home    W     109.75  62  13    A 37 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn             35.07     13.93                      
43 11/03/2014 Home    W     118.20  47   6    A 12 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                 43.51     -2.51                      
44 11/07/2014 Home    L      61.12   6  28    8  4 ( 92- 23-  0) Gladbrook-Reinbeck    -13.56     -8.44                      
45 08/28/2015 Away    W      74.04  36  22   2A 44 ( 32- 50-  0) Eddyville EBF          -0.64     14.64  ND                  
46 09/04/2015 Home    L * *  44.52  12  44   1A 18 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota       -30.16     -1.84  ND                  
47 09/11/2015 Away    W      39.43  20  17   ZZ 48 ( 16- 40-  0) Danville              -35.25     38.25                      
48 09/18/2015 Away    W      80.29  47  20    8 36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London              5.61     21.39                      
49 09/25/2015 Home    W * *  90.12  57   0   1A 53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    15.44     41.56                      
50 10/02/2015 Away    W * *  90.30  50   0   1A 52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal         15.61     34.39                      
51 10/09/2015 Home    W      77.99  35  20    8 21 ( 63- 35-  0) Lone Tree               3.31     11.69                      
52 10/16/2015 Home    W      66.35  49  32    8 38 ( 41- 50-  0) Wayland WACO           -8.33     25.33                      
53 10/23/2015 Away    L      38.98  12  16    8 52 ( 29- 63-  0) Winfield-Mt Union     -35.71     31.71                      
54 10/28/2015 Home    L      66.37  34  36    A 24 ( 61- 39-  0) Lynnville-Sully        -8.32      6.32                      
55 08/26/2016 Home    L * *  54.52  20  42   1A 18 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota       -20.16     -1.84  ND                  
56 09/02/2016 Away    W      71.32  20   6   2A 48 ( 32- 59-  0) Davis County           -3.37     17.37  ND                  
57 09/10/2016 Away    L      42.06   0  28    8 19 ( 61- 39-  0) Montezuma             -32.62      4.62  was 09/09 now 09/10 
58 09/16/2016 Home    W      36.35  21  20    A 59 ( 22- 68-  0) North Mahaska         -38.33     39.33                      
59 09/23/2016 Away    W * *  86.30  53   7   1A 52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal         11.61     34.39                      
60 09/30/2016 Home    L      39.37  14  43    A 24 ( 61- 39-  0) Lynnville-Sully       -35.32      6.32                      
61 10/07/2016 Home    W      76.41  43   6    8 52 ( 29- 63-  0) Winfield-Mt Union       1.72     35.28                      
62 10/14/2016 Away    W      62.29  23  14    8 36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London            -12.39     21.39                      
63 10/21/2016 Home    W      49.86  17   0   ZZ 48 ( 16- 40-  0) Danville              -24.83     41.83  Forfeit             
64 08/18/2017 Home    W     106.97  41   7   2A 25 ( 63- 41-  0) Albia                  32.29      1.71  ND                  
65 08/25/2017 Away    W * * 104.10  37  13   1A 18 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        29.41     -5.41  ND                  
66 09/01/2017 Home    W      97.75  50   6   2A 48 ( 32- 59-  0) Davis County           23.06     20.94  ND                  
67 09/08/2017 Home    W     108.49  42   0    8 19 ( 61- 39-  0) Montezuma              33.81      8.19                      
68 09/15/2017 Away    W      80.92  42   0    A 59 ( 22- 68-  0) North Mahaska           6.24     35.76                      
69 09/22/2017 Home    W * *  86.72  56   6   1A 52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal         12.04     37.96                      
70 09/29/2017 Away    L      43.94   7  35    A 24 ( 61- 39-  0) Lynnville-Sully       -30.75      2.75                      
71 10/06/2017 Away    W      80.98  38   0    8 52 ( 29- 63-  0) Winfield-Mt Union       6.29     31.71                      
72 10/13/2017 Home    W      55.72  14   8    8 36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London            -18.97     24.97                      
73 10/27/2017 Away    L      43.10   0  35   1A 23 ( 68- 36-  0) Hudson                -31.58     -3.42                      
74 08/24/2018 Away    W * *  99.10  31  12   1A 18 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        24.41     -5.41  ND                  
75 08/31/2018 Home    W     106.69  35   7   2A 18 ( 55- 42-  0) Wellman Mid-Prairie    32.00     -4.00  ND                  
76 09/07/2018 Away    L * *  78.05  21  28   1A 14 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis              3.36    -10.36  ND                  
77 09/14/2018 Home    W      82.75  56  27   2A 48 ( 32- 59-  0) Davis County            8.06     20.94  ND                  
78 09/21/2018 Away    W * *  93.30  53   0   1A 52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal         18.61     34.39                      
79 09/28/2018 Home    L      57.09  21  23    A 43 ( 41- 50-  0) Riverside Highland    -17.59     15.59                      
80 10/05/2018 Away    L      67.14  13  28    8  6 ( 83- 27-  0) Brooklyn BGM           -7.54     -7.46                      
81 10/12/2018 Away    W     108.46  62  22    A 31 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine           33.78      6.22                      
82 10/19/2018 Home    L      32.26   7  35   1A 41 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                -42.43     14.43                      
83 08/30/2019 Home    L * *  56.52  14  34   1A 18 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota       -18.16     -1.84  ND                  
84 09/06/2019 Away    L      39.26   0  43   2A 18 ( 55- 42-  0) Wellman Mid-Prairie   -35.42     -7.58  ND                  
85 09/13/2019 Home    L * *  75.48  21  27   1A 14 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis              0.79     -6.79  ND                  
86 09/20/2019 Away    W      85.32  42  14   2A 48 ( 32- 59-  0) Davis County           10.63     17.37  ND                  
87 09/27/2019 Home    W * *  66.72  30   0   1A 52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal         -7.96     37.96                      
88 10/04/2019 Away    L      61.66  24  25    A 43 ( 41- 50-  0) Riverside Highland    -13.02     12.02                      
89 10/11/2019 Home    L      65.57  14  27    8  6 ( 83- 27-  0) Brooklyn BGM           -9.11     -3.89                      
90 10/18/2019 Home    L      52.89  20  32    A 31 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine          -21.79      9.79                      
91 10/25/2019 Away    L      56.83  14  21   1A 41 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                -17.86     10.86                      
92 08/28/2020 Away    W      64.90  37  31   2A 46 ( 33- 59-  0) Central Lee            -9.78     15.78  ND                  
93 09/04/2020 Home    L      32.89   0  32    A 31 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine          -41.79      9.79  ND                  
94 09/19/2020 Away    L * *  68.05   3  20   1A 14 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis             -6.64    -10.36                      
95 09/25/2020 Home    L * *  27.52   0  49   1A 18 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota       -47.16     -1.84                      
96 10/02/2020 Away    W * *  85.96  38  12   1A 44 ( 31- 61-  0) Louisa-Muscatine       11.27     14.73                      
97 10/09/2020 Away    W * *  57.70  42  21   1A 53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren   -16.99     37.99                      
98 10/16/2020 Home    L * *  27.72  29  38   1A 52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal        -46.96     37.96                      
      Averages              74.76  32.5 18.1

Best game:  131.72 = 82 point win over New London
Worst game:  27.52 = 49 point loss to Sigourney-Keota
Team stdev:  23.04