BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Packwood Pekin

Class: 1A Class Rank: 25 Conference: 1A-6 Record: (16-11-0) Overall: (63-35-0) Overall Strength =   74.64

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Home    L *  70.42  32  38   1A  19 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        -4.14     -1.86                      
  2 09/02/2011 Away    L *  51.92   6  39   1A  15 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis            -22.64    -10.36                      
  3 09/09/2011 Home    W   102.51  54  12    A  39 ( 42- 48-  0) Wapello                27.95     14.05                      
  4 09/16/2011 Away    L    74.92  18  34   1A   5 ( 84- 23-  0) West Branch             0.36    -16.36                      
  5 09/23/2011 Home    W *  87.00  60   6   1A  53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    12.43     41.57                      
  6 09/30/2011 Away    W *  80.26  40   0   1A  52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal          5.70     34.30                      
  7 10/07/2011 Home    W    99.11  47   6    A  45 ( 30- 62-  0) Stanwood North Cedar   24.54     16.46                      
  8 10/14/2011 Away    L    32.79  13  52    A  26 ( 53- 43-  0) Alburnett             -41.77      2.77                      
  9 10/21/2011 Away    W    77.52  39  24    A  44 ( 41- 50-  0) Riverside Highland      2.95     12.05                      
 10 10/26/2011 Away    L    47.21   7  47    A   7 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley         -27.35    -12.65                      
 11 08/24/2012 Home    W   131.60  88   6    8  36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London             57.03     24.97                      
 12 08/31/2012 Away    W *  91.97  25  13   1A  19 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        17.40     -5.40                      
 13 09/07/2012 Home    W    75.26  34  27    A  25 ( 61- 39-  0) Lynnville-Sully         0.69      6.31                      
 14 09/14/2012 Away    W   109.21  61  21   1A  35 ( 52- 43-  0) Pleasantville          34.64      5.36                      
 15 09/21/2012 Home    W   102.40  67   0    A  60 ( 21- 69-  0) North Mahaska          27.84     39.16                      
 16 09/28/2012 Away    W    69.57  40   0    8  63 ( 27- 67-  0) English Valleys        -5.00     45.00                      
 17 10/05/2012 Home    L    58.21  20  28    8  18 ( 61- 39-  0) Montezuma             -16.35      8.35                      
 18 10/12/2012 Away    W    90.66  56  12    8  46 ( 40- 55-  0) Southeast Warren       16.10     27.90                      
 19 10/19/2012 Away    L    56.00   0  26    8   7 ( 83- 27-  0) Brooklyn BGM          -18.56     -7.44                      
 20 10/24/2012 Away    L    66.62   0  14    A  13 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                 -7.95     -6.05                      
 21 08/30/2013 Away    W    95.14  55  13    8  36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London             20.57     21.43  ND                  
 22 09/06/2013 Home    L *  70.42  21  27   1A  19 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        -4.14     -1.86  ND                  
 23 09/13/2013 Away    W    92.80  33  12    A  25 ( 61- 39-  0) Lynnville-Sully        18.23      2.77                      
 24 09/20/2013 Home    W    91.66  49  23   1A  35 ( 52- 43-  0) Pleasantville          17.10      8.90                      
 25 09/27/2013 Away    W    75.94  53  16    A  60 ( 21- 69-  0) North Mahaska           1.38     35.62                      
 26 10/04/2013 Home    W    82.02  56   0    8  63 ( 27- 67-  0) English Valleys         7.46     48.54                      
 27 10/11/2013 Away    W    76.76  22  15    8  18 ( 61- 39-  0) Montezuma               2.19      4.81                      
 28 10/18/2013 Home    W   105.12  62   0    8  46 ( 40- 55-  0) Southeast Warren       30.55     31.45                      
 29 10/25/2013 Home    L    66.46   7  19    8   7 ( 83- 27-  0) Brooklyn BGM           -8.10     -3.90                      
 30 10/30/2013 Home    W   105.85  43   0    8  21 ( 63- 35-  0) Lone Tree              31.28     11.72                      
 31 11/04/2013 Away    W   101.62  27   6    A  13 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                 27.05     -6.05                      
 32 11/08/2013 Away    L    61.00   8  29    8   7 ( 83- 27-  0) Brooklyn BGM          -13.56     -7.44                      
 33 08/29/2014 Home    W    88.37  32   0   2A  44 ( 32- 50-  0) Eddyville EBF          13.80     18.20                      
 34 09/05/2014 Away    W * 110.97  45  14   1A  19 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        36.40     -5.40                      
 35 09/12/2014 Home    W    88.45  56   0   ZZ  53 ( 16- 40-  0) Danville               13.89     42.11                      
 36 09/19/2014 Home    W    96.60  54   7    8  36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London             22.03     24.97                      
 37 09/26/2014 Away    W *  71.54  55  20   1A  53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    -3.02     38.02                      
 38 10/03/2014 Home    W *  84.72  48   0   1A  52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal         10.15     37.85                      
 39 10/10/2014 Away    W    71.39  26  21    8  21 ( 63- 35-  0) Lone Tree              -3.17      8.17                      
 40 10/17/2014 Away    W    98.76  48   2    8  38 ( 42- 49-  0) Wayland WACO           24.20     21.80                      
 41 10/24/2014 Home    W    76.36  43   6    8  52 ( 29- 63-  0) Winfield-Mt Union       1.80     35.20                      
 42 10/29/2014 Home    W   109.62  62  13    A  38 ( 41- 51-  0) North Linn             35.06     13.94                      
 43 11/03/2014 Home    W   118.08  47   6    A  13 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                 43.51     -2.51                      
 44 11/07/2014 Home    L    61.03   6  28   ZZ  19 ( 92- 23-  0) Reinbeck Gladbrook-R  -13.53     -8.47                      
 45 08/28/2015 Away    W    73.91  36  22   2A  44 ( 32- 50-  0) Eddyville EBF          -0.65     14.65  ND                  
 46 09/04/2015 Home    L *  44.42  12  44   1A  19 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota       -30.14     -1.86  ND                  
 47 09/11/2015 Away    W    38.99  20  17   ZZ  53 ( 16- 40-  0) Danville              -35.57     38.57                      
 48 09/18/2015 Away    W    80.14  47  20    8  36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London              5.57     21.43                      
 49 09/25/2015 Home    W *  90.00  57   0   1A  53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    15.43     41.57                      
 50 10/02/2015 Away    W *  90.26  50   0   1A  52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal         15.70     34.30                      
 51 10/09/2015 Home    W    77.85  35  20    8  21 ( 63- 35-  0) Lone Tree               3.28     11.72                      
 52 10/16/2015 Home    W    66.22  49  32    8  38 ( 42- 49-  0) Wayland WACO           -8.35     25.35                      
 53 10/23/2015 Away    L    38.90  12  16    8  52 ( 29- 63-  0) Winfield-Mt Union     -35.66     31.66                      
 54 10/28/2015 Home    L    66.26  34  36    A  25 ( 61- 39-  0) Lynnville-Sully        -8.31      6.31                      
 55 08/26/2016 Home    L *  54.42  20  42   1A  19 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota       -20.14     -1.86  ND                  
 56 09/02/2016 Away    W    71.18  20   6   2A  48 ( 31- 60-  0) Davis County           -3.38     17.38  ND                  
 57 09/10/2016 Away    L    41.76   0  28    8  18 ( 61- 39-  0) Montezuma             -32.81      4.81  was 09/09 now 09/10 
 58 09/16/2016 Home    W    36.40  21  20    A  60 ( 21- 69-  0) North Mahaska         -38.16     39.16                      
 59 09/23/2016 Away    W *  86.26  53   7   1A  52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal         11.70     34.30                      
 60 09/30/2016 Home    L    39.26  14  43    A  25 ( 61- 39-  0) Lynnville-Sully       -35.31      6.31                      
 61 10/07/2016 Home    W    76.36  43   6    8  52 ( 29- 63-  0) Winfield-Mt Union       1.80     35.20                      
 62 10/14/2016 Away    W    62.14  23  14    8  36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London            -12.43     21.43                      
 63 10/21/2016 Home    W    49.45  17   0   ZZ  53 ( 16- 40-  0) Danville              -25.11     42.11  Forfeit             
 64 08/18/2017 Home    W   106.87  41   7   2A  26 ( 63- 41-  0) Albia                  32.30      1.70  ND                  
 65 08/25/2017 Away    W * 103.97  37  13   1A  19 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        29.40     -5.40  ND                  
 66 09/01/2017 Home    W    97.64  50   6   2A  48 ( 31- 60-  0) Davis County           23.08     20.92  ND                  
 67 09/08/2017 Home    W   108.21  42   0    8  18 ( 61- 39-  0) Montezuma              33.65      8.35                      
 68 09/15/2017 Away    W    80.94  42   0    A  60 ( 21- 69-  0) North Mahaska           6.38     35.62                      
 69 09/22/2017 Home    W *  86.72  56   6   1A  52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal         12.15     37.85                      
 70 09/29/2017 Away    L    43.80   7  35    A  25 ( 61- 39-  0) Lynnville-Sully       -30.77      2.77                      
 71 10/06/2017 Away    W    80.90  38   0    8  52 ( 29- 63-  0) Winfield-Mt Union       6.34     31.66                      
 72 10/13/2017 Home    W    55.60  14   8    8  36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London            -18.97     24.97                      
 73 10/27/2017 Away    L    43.00   0  35   1A  24 ( 68- 36-  0) Hudson                -31.57     -3.43                      
 74 08/24/2018 Away    W *  98.97  31  12   1A  19 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota        24.40     -5.40  ND                  
 75 08/31/2018 Home    W   106.59  35   7   2A  20 ( 55- 42-  0) Wellman Mid-Prairie    32.02     -4.02  ND                  
 76 09/07/2018 Away    L *  77.92  21  28   1A  15 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis              3.36    -10.36  ND                  
 77 09/14/2018 Home    W    82.64  56  27   2A  48 ( 31- 60-  0) Davis County            8.08     20.92  ND                  
 78 09/21/2018 Away    W *  93.26  53   0   1A  52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal         18.70     34.30                      
 79 09/28/2018 Home    L    56.97  21  23    A  44 ( 41- 50-  0) Riverside Highland    -17.59     15.59                      
 80 10/05/2018 Away    L    67.00  13  28    8   7 ( 83- 27-  0) Brooklyn BGM           -7.56     -7.44                      
 81 10/12/2018 Away    W   108.33  62  22    A  32 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine           33.77      6.23                      
 82 10/19/2018 Home    L    32.16   7  35   1A  40 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                -42.41     14.41                      
 83 08/30/2019 Home    L *  56.42  14  34   1A  19 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota       -18.14     -1.86  ND                  
 84 09/06/2019 Away    L    39.13   0  43   2A  20 ( 55- 42-  0) Wellman Mid-Prairie   -35.44     -7.56  ND                  
 85 09/13/2019 Home    L *  75.38  21  27   1A  15 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis              0.81     -6.81  ND                  
 86 09/20/2019 Away    W    85.18  42  14   2A  48 ( 31- 60-  0) Davis County           10.62     17.38  ND                  
 87 09/27/2019 Home    W *  66.72  30   0   1A  52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal         -7.85     37.85                      
 88 10/04/2019 Away    L    61.52  24  25    A  44 ( 41- 50-  0) Riverside Highland    -13.05     12.05                      
 89 10/11/2019 Home    L    65.46  14  27    8   7 ( 83- 27-  0) Brooklyn BGM           -9.10     -3.90                      
 90 10/18/2019 Home    L    52.79  20  32    A  32 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine          -21.77      9.77                      
 91 10/25/2019 Away    L    56.70  14  21   1A  40 ( 30- 60-  0) Durant                -17.86     10.86                      
 92 08/28/2020 Away    W    64.76  37  31   2A  46 ( 33- 59-  0) Central Lee            -9.80     15.80  ND                  
 93 09/04/2020 Home    L    32.79   0  32    A  32 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine          -41.77      9.77  ND                  
 94 09/19/2020 Away    L *  67.92   3  20   1A  15 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis             -6.64    -10.36                      
 95 09/25/2020 Home    L *  27.42   0  49   1A  19 ( 60- 37-  0) Sigourney-Keota       -47.14     -1.86                      
 96 10/02/2020 Away    W *  85.83  38  12   1A  43 ( 31- 61-  0) Louisa-Muscatine       11.26     14.74                      
 97 10/09/2020 Away    W *  57.54  42  21   1A  53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren   -17.02     38.02                      
 98 10/16/2020 Home    L *  27.72  29  38   1A  52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal        -46.85     37.85                      
      Averages              74.64  32.5 18.1

Best game:  131.60 = 82 point win over New London
Worst game:  27.42 = 49 point loss to Sigourney-Keota
Team stdev:  23.05